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Futuristic Risk Intelligence

Geopolitical conflict risk, political events, and maritime traffic data for AI agents

Open source Open in the app JSON README (API)

About

Geopolitical conflict risk, political events, and maritime traffic data for AI agents

Details

Kind
MCP servers
Topic
No topic detected
Publisher
cct15
Origin
official
Category
ferramentas
Transport
local
Version
1.0.0
Stars
2
Forks
1
Last push
2026-06-19T03:27:36Z
Repository state
ativo
Language
Python
License
MIT
Added
2026-08-29 03:02:34
Updated
2026-08-29 03:02:34
Origin id
io.github.cct15/war-dashboard-data

README

# Futuristic Risk Intelligence — MCP Server & Data Feed

<!-- mcp-name: io.github.cct15/war-dashboard-data -->

Geopolitical conflict risk data for AI agents via [Model Context Protocol (MCP)](https://modelcontextprotocol.io/). Updated daily.

[![PyPI](https://img.shields.io/pypi/v/war-dashboard-data)](https://pypi.org/project/war-dashboard-data/)
[![war-dashboard-data MCP server](https://glama.ai/mcp/servers/cct15/war-dashboard-data/badges/card.svg)](https://glama.ai/mcp/servers/cct15/war-dashboard-data)

## MCP Tools

| Tool | Description |
|------|-------------|
| `get_conflict_risks` | Risk probabilities for 6 major geopolitical conflicts (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with 1d/7d/30d horizons |
| `get_political_events` | High-impact political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates |
| `get_maritime_traffic` | ⚠️ **Suspended** — AIS snapshot data does not meet reliability standards. Returns `status: unavailable`. |

## Install

```bash
pip install war-dashboard-data
```

## Quick Start

### Claude Desktop

Add to your `claude_desktop_config.json`:

```json
{
  "mcpServers": {
    "futuristic-risk": {
      "command": "war-dashboard-data"
    }
  }
}
```

Then ask Claude: *"What's the current escalation risk for Russia-Ukraine?"*

### Direct API (REST)

```bash
curl https://raw.githubusercontent.com/cct15/war-dashboard-data/main/conflicts.json
```

## Coverage

**6 conflict regions**: Russia-Ukraine, Iran-Israel/US, Israel-Palestine, China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, US-Latin America

**5 event types** with clear risk direction:

| Event Type | Meaning | Direction |
|-----------|---------|-----------|
| `escalation` | Military escalation (strikes, invasion, nuclear test) | risk_increase |
| `ceasefire` | Ceasefire or peace agreement reached | risk_decrease |
| `ceasefire_cancel` | Existing ceasefire breaks down | risk_increase |
| `regime_change` | Government falls or changes | risk_increase |
| `diplomatic` | Major diplomatic event (nuclear deal, treaty) | neutral |

## Data Schema

### conflicts.json

Each conflict includes:

| Field | Description |
|-------|-------------|
| `conflict_id` | Region identifier (e.g. `russia_ukraine`, `iran_israel_us`) |
| `importance` | Editorial priority: `high` (active/major conflict, recommended for display) or `low` (low probability, included for data completeness) |
| `risk_level` | Overall risk: `high` / `medium` / `low` |
| `probability_30d / 7d / 1d` | P(event occurs within time horizon) |
| `situation_briefing` | Daily situation summary in Chinese, based on latest news |
| `risk_impact` | Structured impact analysis: `industries[]`, `assets[]`, `channels[]` (transmission paths) |
| `risk_events[]` | Breakdown by event type with per-type probabilities |
| `risk_events[].direction` | `risk_increase` (higher prob = more danger) or `risk_decrease` (higher prob = less danger) |
| `risk_events[].change_vs_7d_ago` | Probability delta vs. 7 days ago |
| `data_points` | Number of data sources (for confidence assessment) |
| `anomaly_detected` | Whether probability diverges from news intensity |

### political_events.json

Political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates.

| Field | Description |
|-------|-------------|
| `event_summary` | Event description (Chinese) |
| `event_summary_en` | Event description (English) |
| `category` | `political` / `economic` / `natural_disaster` |
| `probability` | Estimated probability of occurrence |
| `importance` | Editorial priority: `high` (recommended for display) or `low` (data completeness) |
| `deadline` | Event deadline (YYYY-MM-DD), if applicable |
| `data_confidence` | `high` / `medium` / `low` (based on trading volume) |

### `importance` field

Both `conflicts.json` and `political_events.json` include an `importance` field:
- **`high`** — Editorially recommended. Active conflicts, high-probability events, or events with significant recent changes. Matches the daily intelligence report's display filter.
- **`low`** — Included for data completeness. Low probability, no active events, or not a current focus area. Agents may still find these useful for comprehensive monitoring.

### maritime.json

⚠️ **Suspended**: Free AIS data (45-second snapshots) produces sporadic zero-vessel readings in busy straits, which could mislead agents into inferring blockades. Returns `{"status": "unavailable", "zones": []}`. Will resume when a reliable AIS source is found.

## Use Cases

- **Trading agents**: Adjust crypto/commodity positions based on geopolitical risk changes
- **Risk management**: Monitor conflict escalation probabilities for portfolio hedging
- **DeFi protocols**: Dynamic collateral ratios based on geopolitical risk
- **Research agents**: Track probability trends across 6 conflict regions
- **News agents**: Get structured risk data instead of parsing headlines

## Technical Details

- **Zero dependencies**: MCP server uses only Python stdlib (works with Python 3.9+)
- **Data source**: Proprietary multi-source modeling
- **Update frequency**: Daily
- **Latency**: Public data has ~24h delay

## License

Data is free for non-commercial use. Contact for commercial licensing.

## Website & Research

**[futuristicrisks.com](https://futuristicrisks.com)** — Live risk dashboard, cascade impact analysis, daily verified intelligence, and API documentation.

**Research articles**:
- [2026年全球地缘政治风险全景分析](https://futuristicrisks.com/blog/geopolitical-risk-2026.html)
- [伊朗局势对油价和供应链的影响分析](https://futuristicrisks.com/blog/iran-oil-impact.html)
- [台海冲突对全球半导体供应链的风险评估](https://futuristicrisks.com/blog/taiwan-semiconductor-risk.html)

Built by [Futuristic Risk Intelligence](https://futuristicrisks.com).

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