{
  "markdown": "# Futuristic Risk Intelligence — MCP Server & Data Feed\n\n<!-- mcp-name: io.github.cct15/war-dashboard-data -->\n\nGeopolitical conflict risk data for AI agents via [Model Context Protocol (MCP)](https://modelcontextprotocol.io/). Updated daily.\n\n[![PyPI](https://img.shields.io/pypi/v/war-dashboard-data)](https://pypi.org/project/war-dashboard-data/)\n[![war-dashboard-data MCP server](https://glama.ai/mcp/servers/cct15/war-dashboard-data/badges/card.svg)](https://glama.ai/mcp/servers/cct15/war-dashboard-data)\n\n## MCP Tools\n\n| Tool | Description |\n|------|-------------|\n| `get_conflict_risks` | Risk probabilities for 6 major geopolitical conflicts (escalation, ceasefire, regime change) with 1d/7d/30d horizons |\n| `get_political_events` | High-impact political, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates |\n| `get_maritime_traffic` | ⚠️ **Suspended** — AIS snapshot data does not meet reliability standards. Returns `status: unavailable`. |\n\n## Install\n\n```bash\npip install war-dashboard-data\n```\n\n## Quick Start\n\n### Claude Desktop\n\nAdd to your `claude_desktop_config.json`:\n\n```json\n{\n  \"mcpServers\": {\n    \"futuristic-risk\": {\n      \"command\": \"war-dashboard-data\"\n    }\n  }\n}\n```\n\nThen ask Claude: *\"What's the current escalation risk for Russia-Ukraine?\"*\n\n### Direct API (REST)\n\n```bash\ncurl https://raw.githubusercontent.com/cct15/war-dashboard-data/main/conflicts.json\n```\n\n## Coverage\n\n**6 conflict regions**: Russia-Ukraine, Iran-Israel/US, Israel-Palestine, China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, US-Latin America\n\n**5 event types** with clear risk direction:\n\n| Event Type | Meaning | Direction |\n|-----------|---------|-----------|\n| `escalation` | Military escalation (strikes, invasion, nuclear test) | risk_increase |\n| `ceasefire` | Ceasefire or peace agreement reached | risk_decrease |\n| `ceasefire_cancel` | Existing ceasefire breaks down | risk_increase |\n| `regime_change` | Government falls or changes | risk_increase |\n| `diplomatic` | Major diplomatic event (nuclear deal, treaty) | neutral |\n\n## Data Schema\n\n### conflicts.json\n\nEach conflict includes:\n\n| Field | Description |\n|-------|-------------|\n| `conflict_id` | Region identifier (e.g. `russia_ukraine`, `iran_israel_us`) |\n| `importance` | Editorial priority: `high` (active/major conflict, recommended for display) or `low` (low probability, included for data completeness) |\n| `risk_level` | Overall risk: `high` / `medium` / `low` |\n| `probability_30d / 7d / 1d` | P(event occurs within time horizon) |\n| `situation_briefing` | Daily situation summary in Chinese, based on latest news |\n| `risk_impact` | Structured impact analysis: `industries[]`, `assets[]`, `channels[]` (transmission paths) |\n| `risk_events[]` | Breakdown by event type with per-type probabilities |\n| `risk_events[].direction` | `risk_increase` (higher prob = more danger) or `risk_decrease` (higher prob = less danger) |\n| `risk_events[].change_vs_7d_ago` | Probability delta vs. 7 days ago |\n| `data_points` | Number of data sources (for confidence assessment) |\n| `anomaly_detected` | Whether probability diverges from news intensity |\n\n### political_events.json\n\nPolitical, economic, and natural disaster events with probability estimates.\n\n| Field | Description |\n|-------|-------------|\n| `event_summary` | Event description (Chinese) |\n| `event_summary_en` | Event description (English) |\n| `category` | `political` / `economic` / `natural_disaster` |\n| `probability` | Estimated probability of occurrence |\n| `importance` | Editorial priority: `high` (recommended for display) or `low` (data completeness) |\n| `deadline` | Event deadline (YYYY-MM-DD), if applicable |\n| `data_confidence` | `high` / `medium` / `low` (based on trading volume) |\n\n### `importance` field\n\nBoth `conflicts.json` and `political_events.json` include an `importance` field:\n- **`high`** — Editorially recommended. Active conflicts, high-probability events, or events with significant recent changes. Matches the daily intelligence report's display filter.\n- **`low`** — Included for data completeness. Low probability, no active events, or not a current focus area. Agents may still find these useful for comprehensive monitoring.\n\n### maritime.json\n\n⚠️ **Suspended**: Free AIS data (45-second snapshots) produces sporadic zero-vessel readings in busy straits, which could mislead agents into inferring blockades. Returns `{\"status\": \"unavailable\", \"zones\": []}`. Will resume when a reliable AIS source is found.\n\n## Use Cases\n\n- **Trading agents**: Adjust crypto/commodity positions based on geopolitical risk changes\n- **Risk management**: Monitor conflict escalation probabilities for portfolio hedging\n- **DeFi protocols**: Dynamic collateral ratios based on geopolitical risk\n- **Research agents**: Track probability trends across 6 conflict regions\n- **News agents**: Get structured risk data instead of parsing headlines\n\n## Technical Details\n\n- **Zero dependencies**: MCP server uses only Python stdlib (works with Python 3.9+)\n- **Data source**: Proprietary multi-source modeling\n- **Update frequency**: Daily\n- **Latency**: Public data has ~24h delay\n\n## License\n\nData is free for non-commercial use. Contact for commercial licensing.\n\n## Website & Research\n\n**[futuristicrisks.com](https://futuristicrisks.com)** — Live risk dashboard, cascade impact analysis, daily verified intelligence, and API documentation.\n\n**Research articles**:\n- [2026年全球地缘政治风险全景分析](https://futuristicrisks.com/blog/geopolitical-risk-2026.html)\n- [伊朗局势对油价和供应链的影响分析](https://futuristicrisks.com/blog/iran-oil-impact.html)\n- [台海冲突对全球半导体供应链的风险评估](https://futuristicrisks.com/blog/taiwan-semiconductor-risk.html)\n\nBuilt by [Futuristic Risk Intelligence](https://futuristicrisks.com).\n",
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